Block Inc Forecasts Rule of 40 Achievement by 2026

TLDR

• Block Inc reported Q3 2025 gross profit of $2.66 billion.
• Company aims for over 19% profit growth in Q4 2025.
• JPMorgan maintains a ‘Buy’ rating with a target of $79.63.

JPMorgan has forecasted that Block Inc will achieve the “Rule of 40” by 2026, despite recently spending $70 million on an event in Q3 2025, as highlighted in their latest earnings commentary.

Block Inc, led by CEO Jack Dorsey, encompasses Square and Cash App businesses and is known for innovation in payment solutions. Recent earnings calls confirmed exceeding expectations in gross profit and adjusted operating income, with a projection of maintaining this trajectory.

Block Inc’s Financial Strategy and Guidance

Block Inc’s Q3 2025 financial results were robust, with a reported gross profit of $2.66 billion, marking an 18% year-on-year increase. The guidance for Q4 2025 suggests a growth of over 19% in year-on-year profit and targets an adjusted operating income of $560 million.

Despite the high spending event, the company’s guidance remains unwavering, keeping in track with their objectives to meet the “Rule of 40”. This benchmark signifies a combination of 20%+ growth and adjusted operating margins over 20% by 2026.

Institutional Support and Projections

Institutional analysts, including those at JPMorgan, continue to support Block Inc, maintaining a “Buy” rating with a consensus price target of $79.63. This signals ongoing institutional confidence in Block Inc’s growth and financial metrics.

Block Inc management has publicly expressed confidence in achieving sustained growth, emphasizing their Q3 outperformance and future projections.

“Taken together, we expect to be approaching Rule of 40 as we head into 2026. Our full year guidance reflects our Q3 outperformance and our confidence in sustained growth.”

Block Inc Management, earnings call

Impact on Cryptocurrency and Related Assets

Cash App, part of Block Inc’s portfolio, remains integral for Bitcoin transactions. The latest results maintain focus on fiat revenue, but Cash App continues to support native Bitcoin buying and selling.

There are no reported impacts on Ethereum or other altcoins from this announcement. The company’s core business remains centered around fiat payments, with Bitcoin as an optional integrated asset.

Historical Company Activities and Market Reactions

Block Inc’s occasional investments in events have been part of their broader marketing strategy, generally absorbed into their budget without affecting growth trajectories. Historical data indicates their performance in payment and digital sectors tends to offset these one-time costs.

No new regulatory actions have been reported concerning Block Inc’s operations or their Bitcoin functionality. Developer community discussions remain centered around operating results rather than on-chain metrics or updates.