TLDR
- TAO supply will halve from 7,200 to 3,600 tokens daily.
- Halving expected between December 12-15, 2025.
- Current TAO price ranges from $260 to $300.
Bittensor is set to activate its first TAO halving. This event will occur when the circulating supply reaches 10.5 million tokens. Currently, the supply is around 10.49 million tokens, with the halving expected between December 12-15, 2025. This will cut the daily emissions of TAO by half, from 7,200 to 3,600, drawing a parallel to Bitcoin’s halving mechanism.
The reduction in supply could potentially decrease sell pressure from miners by approximately $1 million daily at current prices, which hover around $300. The halving is triggered by the supply threshold rather than fixed block intervals, suggesting a unique approach compared to Bitcoin.
Background on Bittensor’s Development
Bittensor was founded by Ala Shaabana and Jacob Steeves in 2021. Originally a research experiment, Bittensor has evolved into a decentralized AI network with a multi-billion-dollar ecosystem. The network supports 129 AI subnets. The halving is anticipated to align with a growth in adoption, as noted by Grayscale Research analyst Will Ogden Moore, citing the dynamic TAO (dTAO) launch in February 2025 as a significant factor.
No official statements have been released by Bittensor’s founders or core team regarding the halving. The project’s sites, such as bittensorhalving.com and taostats.io, provide metric confirmation but lack additional commentary.
Institutional Participation in Bittensor
Institutional funding for Bittensor includes Grayscale’s expanded brokerage access for GTAO. Several firms have launched subnet-focused funds. Furthermore, three public companies hold TAO treasuries; a notable example is TAO Synergies, which holds around $12 million worth.
The specifics of dollar allocations or any government funding remain undisclosed in primary sources. However, these developments indicate a growing interest from institutional investors in the network.
Details and Implications of TAO Halving
The assets affected primarily center around TAO. Subnet Alpha tokens will follow the same emission schedule, but their reward structure remains unchanged. Notably, this event does not directly impact Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin (BTC), or other altcoins.
On-chain data reports the circulating supply of TAO at approximately 10.491-10.451 million, which is about 49.7-49.96% of the 21 million maximum supply. The next halving is projected at 15.75 million TAO. Currently, Bittensor’s annual inflation rate will drop from around 26% to 13% post-halving.
Price Trends and Market Resistance
As the market anticipates the halving, TAO’s price is observed around $260-300. The price faces resistance between $450 and $480, with potential downside risks indicated if a “sell the news” scenario occurs, which could push prices below $230.
Insufficient primary sources prevent a definitive prediction regarding TAO breaking above the $400 mark. Past events, such as Bitcoin halvings, show that reduced supply can drive price rallies if demand remains steady, though Bittensor’s dynamics differ.
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