TLDR
- BitMine holds over 4.24 million ETH, 3.5% of total supply.
- Ethereumโs price dropped 20% in the past week.
- Analysts predict Ethereum could fall to $1,800-$1,850.
Tom Lee, the co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, has recently faced significant financial setbacks as BitMine Immersion Technologies, a cryptocurrency treasury company linked to him, reported approximately $6 billion in unrealized losses on its Ethereum holdings. The firm accumulated over 4.24 million ETH, which represents about 3.5% of Ethereumโs circulating supply. This includes the recent purchase of 40,302 ETH last week when prices were close to $2,540.
At present, BitMineโs ETH position is valued at approximately $9.6 billion. This is a notable decrease from a peak valuation of $13.9 billion in October. The decline coincides with Ethereumโs price drop below $2,500, settling around $2,370. This represents a 12% decrease in the past 24 hours and a 20% decrease over the week. Tom Lee, known for his bullish cryptocurrency predictions, stated in a recent interview that the market is experiencing deleveraging following a crash in October 2025, which wiped out $19 billion. He warned that 2026 might start painfully before eventually rebounding.
Potential Ethereum Price Drop Predicted
Jake Wujastyk, an analyst, shared insights on X, suggesting that Ethereum could drop to a range of $1,800 to $1,850 if the financial fallout intensifies. This prediction follows a 6% decline in Bitcoin and $1.6 billion in liquidations. Ethereumโs higher timeframe structure is said to remain stronger than Bitcoinโs, with support anticipated at $2,000 to $2,200 and deeper at $1,600 to $1,800. Wujastyk noted that the long-term outlook remains bullish due to the potential of tokenization.
Another analyst, G. Martin, commented that while Ethereumโs higher timeframe structure is more robust than Bitcoinโs despite its current weakness, it is expected to follow a sustained downtrend as long as Bitcoin remains bearish. He remains optimistic about Ethereumโs long-term prospects, citing its role in tokenization and describing it as his primary reference chain.
Unrealized Losses and Market Reactions
Garrett Jin, identified as a long-term Bitcoin holder and Hyperunit whale, experienced notable losses in the wake of Ethereumโs decline. His $700 million-plus Ethereum position was liquidated, culminating in a $250 million loss. Following his deposit of 3,183 ETH, valued at $8 million, to Binance, Jinโs account now retains only $53. This highlights the intense market pressures impacting large-scale investors.
The decline in Ethereum prices has also resulted in spot ETH ETFs experiencing $327 million in weekly net outflows. Between January 25 and 26, netflows indicated $120 million in outflows, followed by $150 million on January 31. Over 60,000 ETH, valued at $174 million, were transferred to exchanges within a 72-hour period, signaling intensified selling pressure.
Market Analysts Highlight Larger Trends
In comparison to similar past events, the October 2025 crash significantly reduced market risk appetite, resulting in a $19 billion loss across the board. Current conditions echo this, with deleveraging and liquidity โair pocketsโ arising from excessive leverage. Analysts, including Tom Lee and the Kobeissi Letter, have emphasized these fragile liquidity conditions that echo todayโs market liquidations.
Despite these challenges, some analysts maintain a positive outlook for Ethereum due to its strong fundamentals and potential for tokenization. The broader cryptocurrency marketโs vulnerability to macroeconomic forces continues to shape investor sentiments, emphasizing the ongoing volatility. As the cryptocurrency landscape continues to evolve, the interplay of these factors remains a key point of interest for stakeholders.
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