TLDR
- Bitcoin could reach $150,000 to $200,000 by 2025.
- Previous cycles peaked 518 and 546 days post-halving.
- Market sentiment anticipates peak in late 2025.
Crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently discussed a disconnect between Bitcoinโs 2021 price peak and the growth of global M2 money supply. He emphasized the significance of macroeconomic factors on Bitcoinโs current and future price trends. This analysis is based on Rekt Capitalโs posts and newsletters.
Rekt Capital, a well-known pseudonymous analyst with over 546,700 followers, focuses on Bitcoinโs cyclical behavior. He is recognized for precise market cycle predictions. He projects that 2025 will be a crucial year, marking a potential new bull market peak for Bitcoin.
Bitcoinโs Projected Price Movements and Timelines
Rekt Capital forecasts that Bitcoin could climb to approximately $150,000, eventually rallying to $200,000 during the current market cycle. His projections include potential cycle peaks around mid-September or mid-October 2025, reflecting historical patterns from previous cycles.
In his analysis, he cites previous cycle peaks occurring more than a year after the halving event, with the 2017 and 2021 cycles peaking 518 and 546 days post-halving, respectively. Both of these patterns are described by Rekt as aligning with the expected peak following the April 2024 halving.
Investor Caution and Market Sentiment
Community sentiment, according to discussions on social media, shows anticipation for the peak in the latter half of 2025. Investors are mindful of the significant volatility typically associated with these consolidatory phases.
Rekt Capitalโs analysis is focused primarily on Bitcoin. While he mentions the macroeconomic environment indirectly impacting other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, the main focus remains BTC. His observation is that Bitcoinโs cycle may be beginning to re-align with traditional patterns following a period of rapid acceleration.
Historical Reference and Market Cycles
This analysis adheres closely to historical Bitcoin cycles where extended consolidation often precedes large-scale rallies. The disconnect between the rising M2 money supply and Bitcoinโs past performance suggests a lag in the cryptocurrencyโs price cycle relative to macroeconomic events.
Rekt Capital highlights that the current cycleโs rate of acceleration has decreased, indicating a potential realignment with traditional patterns. This suggests that Bitcoin is consolidating and may have leeway for growth moving forward. As in past cycles, such developments may follow prolonged consolidation phases.
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